أسعار النفط في دول مجلس التعاون

يوضح الجدول التالي التطور الأسبوعي لأسعار النفط الخام في دول مجلس التعاون لدول الخليج العربية خلال الفترة من 7 يناير 2005 إلى 5 مارس 2010. ومن الجدول يلاحظ أنه بدءا من الأسبوع الأول من يناير – حتى أكتوبر 2008 بدأت أسعار النفط تأخذ اتجاها غير مسبوق في مستوياتها، وهي الفترة التي شهدت أسعارا قياسية للنفط خصوصا في يوليو 2008. غير ان اندلاع الأزمة المالية العالمية قد أدى إلى حدوث انتكاسة في الاتجاه العام لأسعار النفط كما هو واضح من الجدول، وطوال فترة الأزمة عانت أسعار النفط تقلبا شديدا وبلغت أدنى مستوياتها في يناير العام الماضي. غير أن الأسابيع الأولى من هذا العام وحتى هذه اللحظة تشير إلى أن أسعار النفط بدأت تكتسب بعض العزم في اتجاهها نحو الارتفاع، لتؤكد توقعاتي التي أشرت إليها أكثر من مرة حول اتجاه أسعار النفط في المستقبل القريب، وهي أنه ما إن تبدأ آثار الأزمة العالمية في التلاشي، حتى تأخذ أسعار النفط في الارتفاع والعودة مرة أخرى إلى مستوياتها السابقة على الأزمة.

غير أنه حتى هذه اللحظة نلاحظ ان الاتجاهات نحو الارتفاع في الأسعار بطيئة وتميل نحو التقلب، وهي حاليا تجاوز الثمانين دولارا بقليل، وهو ما أراه انعكاسا لاتجاهات استعادة النشاط في الاقتصاد العالمي استعدادا للخروج من الأزمة، وبالنسبة لي أعتقد أن سعر الثمانين دولارا للبرميل يعد مستوى حرجا في اتجاه الأسعار نحو الارتفاع، إذا استمرت الأسعار فوق مستوى الثمانين دولارا لفترة، فان العزم المكتسب للأسعار نحو الارتفاع سوف يتعزز، لتبدأ عملية استعادة أسعار النفط نحو الارتفاع إلى مستوياتها قبل الأزمة، ومن ثم تنتعش مالية دول مجلس التعاون بصورة أكبر مما هي عليه حاليا.

الأسعار الأسبوعية للنفط الخام

التاريخ	العالم	الإمارات (أبو ظبي)	الكويت	قطر	المملكة العربية السعودية
Jan 07, 2005	35.16	38.74	31.86	38.14	34.05
Jan 14, 2005	38.26	41.31	34.47	40.62	37.01
Jan 21, 2005	39.49	43.62	36.89	43.03	38.36
Jan 28, 2005	42.76	44.65	38.02	44.26	39.57
Feb 04, 2005	41.54	42.97	36.67	42.53	38.05
Feb 11, 2005	40.4	42.38	36.02	41.64	36.93
Feb 18, 2005	42.05	43.58	37.28	42.89	38.83
Feb 25, 2005	44.35	45.18	39.01	44.65	41.1
Mar 04, 2005	45.07	47.03	41.5	46.48	44.7
Mar 11, 2005	46.96	48.79	43.36	48.57	46.8
Mar 18, 2005	48.06	50.34	44.87	50.77	48.19
Mar 25, 2005	48.75	51.6	46.13	52.14	49.41
Apr 01, 2005	46.84	50.9	45.15	50.59	48.2
Apr 08, 2005	49.48	54.87	48.08	54.17	50.85
Apr 15, 2005	46.18	51.87	45.3	51.53	47.07
Apr 22, 2005	46	50.36	43.72	49.71	47.35
Apr 29, 2005	47.59	52.3	45.73	51.67	48.86
May 06, 2005	45.2	51.18	44.74	50.22	44.48
May 13, 2005	45.12	50.85	44.4	50.15	44.03
May 20, 2005	42.93	49.88	43.41	49.12	41.81
May 27, 2005	43.67	50.59	44.06	49.2	42.3
Jun 03, 2005	46.65	52.67	46.22	50.36	45.96
Jun 10, 2005	48.74	53.89	48.47	52.32	47.87
Jun 17, 2005	49.5	53.72	49.31	53.04	48.8
Jun 24, 2005	52.55	55.98	51.23	55.37	52.11
Jul 01, 2005	52.55	57.06	52.19	56.36	52.77
Jul 08, 2005	53.56	57.59	52.9	57.03	53.24
Jul 15, 2005	53.93	58.29	53.18	57.53	53.61
Jul 22, 2005	52.24	55.91	50.36	55.17	52.11
Jul 29, 2005	53.18	56.4	50.78	55.3	52.85
Aug 05, 2005	55.05	59.31	53.21	58.35	54.32
Aug 12, 2005	57.74	60.7	54.24	59.42	56.76
Aug 19, 2005	58.99	62.38	55.69	61.17	58.8
Aug 26, 2005	58.74	62.41	55.28	61.25	58.96
Sep 02, 2005	60.75	64.19	57.37	63.45	62.1
Sep 09, 2005	59.18	63.62	56.26	62.41	59.8
Sep 16, 2005	56.93	62.23	54.02	61.37	57.7
Sep 23, 2005	58.2	62.9	55.16	62.29	59.4
Sep 30, 2005	58.12	61.99	54.65	61.58	58.34
Oct 07, 2005	55.99	61.19	53.74	61.02	54.71
Oct 14, 2005	54.5	59.09	51.74	58.82	52.75
Oct 21, 2005	53.96	58.87	51.4	58.53	52.41
Oct 28, 2005	53.32	58.05	50.55	57.83	51.9
Nov 04, 2005	53.39	57.66	50.52	57.48	52.31
Nov 11, 2005	52.16	57.54	50.67	57.3	51.47
Nov 18, 2005	49.46	55.06	48.11	54.66	48.9
Nov 25, 2005	49.41	55.21	48.02	54.56	49.18
Dec 02, 2005	49.42	55.05	48.72	54.61	49
Dec 09, 2005	51.88	57.57	51.51	57.4	51.62
Dec 16, 2005	53.75	58.97	53.01	58.83	53.28
Dec 23, 2005	51.66	57.09	50.77	56.76	51
Dec 30, 2005	51.73	56.27	50.16	56.09	50.86
Jan 06, 2006	55.12	59.74	53.61	59.49	55.01
Jan 13, 2006	56.75	61.58	55.57	61.36	56.97
Jan 20, 2006	58.02	62.73	56.78	62.5	58.47
Jan 27, 2006	59.67	64.33	58.42	64.01	60.22
Feb 03, 2006	59.84	64.67	58.64	64.37	59.56
Feb 10, 2006	57.05	63.11	57.06	62.88	56.37
Feb 17, 2006	53.9	60.35	54.54	60.18	53.54
Feb 24, 2006	54.17	60.67	54.8	60.48	54.68
Mar 03, 2006	55.98	62.13	55.85	61.58	56.71
Mar 10, 2006	56.23	62.61	56.41	62.06	56.6
Mar 17, 2006	56.49	61.73	55.8	61.07	56.87
Mar 24, 2006	56.63	61.57	55.66	61.05	57.16
Mar 31, 2006	58.8	62.64	56.88	62.16	59.14
Apr 07, 2006	61.27	65.29	59.76	65.01	61.04
Apr 14, 2006	62.99	67.13	61.31	66.67	62.7
Apr 21, 2006	66.02	70.04	64.29	69.66	66.43
Apr 28, 2006	66.85	70.74	65.05	70.4	67.06
May 05, 2006	66.94	71.59	65.44	71.05	66.4
May 12, 2006	65.37	70.18	64.09	69.78	65.2
May 19, 2006	64.1	68.74	62.54	68.13	63.87
May 26, 2006	63.49	68.57	62.21	67.86	63.2
Jun 02, 2006	64.67	69.77	63.58	69.15	63.68
Jun 09, 2006	64.21	70.39	64.44	69.83	63.34
Jun 16, 2006	62.66	69.17	62.12	68.69	61.55
Jun 23, 2006	62.26	68.37	61.23	67.67	61.69
Jun 30, 2006	65.11	70.25	63.17	69.45	64.15
Jul 07, 2006	67.74	73.02	65.89	72.23	67.11
Jul 14, 2006	68.47	73.7	66.47	72.99	67.79
Jul 21, 2006	69.39	75.21	68.06	74.58	69.41
Jul 28, 2006	68.08	72.86	65.83	72.35	67.84
Aug 04, 2006	69.79	74.01	66.96	73.5	69.25
Aug 11, 2006	71.45	76.01	68.85	75.55	71.09
Aug 18, 2006	67.86	73.83	66.68	73.33	67.66
Aug 25, 2006	66.45	72.54	65.24	72.06	66.62
Sep 01, 2006	64.49	71.45	64.06	70.9	65.14
Sep 08, 2006	62.02	69.52	62.08	68.91	62.34
Sep 15, 2006	58.89	66.33	58.56	65.51	58.45
Sep 22, 2006	56.38	63.28	55.48	62.53	56.8
Sep 29, 2006	54.93	61.36	53.76	60.33	55.23
Oct 06, 2006	54.92	61.75	54.2	60.83	54.71
Oct 13, 2006	53.72	60.84	53.67	59.56	54.07
Oct 20, 2006	53.86	61.27	54.05	60.06	54.78
Oct 27, 2006	53.58	61.17	53.86	59.82	54.73
Nov 03, 2006	53.32	60.61	53.35	59.55	54.05
Nov 10, 2006	54.36	60.78	54.04	60.23	54.42
Nov 17, 2006	54.34	61.63	54.62	60.82	54.62
Nov 24, 2006	53.53	59.71	52.73	58.91	53.95
Dec 01, 2006	56.13	61.54	54.3	60.54	55.87
Dec 08, 2006	58.21	64.46	57.46	63.5	57.95
Dec 15, 2006	56.94	62.46	55.3	61.35	56.61
Dec 22, 2006	57.22	63.11	55.97	62	57.22
Dec 29, 2006	55.95	62.67	55.18	61.29	55.94
Jan 05, 2007	54.63	61.39	53.35	59.9	53.48
Jan 12, 2007	50.12	57	49.16	56.04	48.78
Jan 19, 2007	48.2	54.49	46.72	53.65	46.63
Jan 26, 2007	50.14	54.98	47.46	54.46	48.23
Feb 02, 2007	52.11	56.68	49.57	56.34	49.55
Feb 09, 2007	54.38	59.27	52.31	58.66	52.01
Feb 16, 2007	53.65	59.3	52.36	58.68	51.54
Feb 23, 2007	54.46	58.58	51.72	58.05	52.45
Mar 02, 2007	57.83	62.23	55.04	61.5	56.7
Mar 09, 2007	58.04	62.71	55.68	62.14	57.07
Mar 16, 2007	58.03	62.41	55.71	61.77	56.6
Mar 23, 2007	57.78	61.79	54.92	61.1	56.31
Mar 30, 2007	61.81	64.98	58.12	64.4	60.26
Apr 06, 2007	64.93	67.8	60.74	67.13	63.25
Apr 13, 2007	63.54	68.5	61.46	68.06	62.9
Apr 20, 2007	62.97	68.5	61.53	68.16	62.34
Apr 27, 2007	63.25	68.13	61.39	67.89	62.65
May 04, 2007	63.4	68.73	61.79	68.35	63.47
May 11, 2007	61.55	67.62	60.39	66.93	61.48
May 18, 2007	63.92	68.9	61.81	68.32	63.77
May 25, 2007	66.75	70.74	63.61	70.08	66.4
Jun 01, 2007	65.37	70.15	63.39	69.5	64.56
Jun 08, 2007	66.79	69.93	62.83	68.77	65.68
Jun 15, 2007	66.18	70.13	63.04	69.1	65.07
Jun 22, 2007	68.29	71.73	64.62	70.05	66.85
Jun 29, 2007	67.84	71.11	63.99	69.74	66.16
Jul 06, 2007	69.91	72.55	65.44	71.55	68.73
Jul 13, 2007	73.44	74.38	71.97	73.24	72.19
Jul 20, 2007	74.43	74.84	72.46	73.83	73.08
Jul 27, 2007	73.69	75.25	68.64	74.27	72.59
Aug 03, 2007	73.81	74.35	67.74	74.43	73.53
Aug 10, 2007	69.87	72.57	66.19	73.24	68.92
Aug 17, 2007	68.15	71.03	64.88	72.08	67.19
Aug 24, 2007	67.1	70.95	65.15	72.43	66.33
Aug 31, 2007	68.46	71.66	65.38	72.37	67.69
Sep 07, 2007	71.42	73.33	68.26	74.14	71.02
Sep 14, 2007	73.23	76.24	70.88	76.39	73.21
Sep 21, 2007	74.97	78.11	72.53	77.66	74.67
Sep 28, 2007	75.91	79.4	73.97	78.22	75.77
Oct 05, 2007	75.57	78.53	72.88	78.55	75.56
Oct 12, 2007	75.66	78.88	72.85	78.98	75.58
Oct 19, 2007	80.12	82.17	76.19	80.71	80.16
Oct 26, 2007	81.27	83.52	77.72	81.17	81.43
Nov 02, 2007	86.02	87.98	82.4	85.72	85.81
Nov 09, 2007	89.64	89.93	85.6	90.35	89.15
Nov 16, 2007	87.79	89.63	85.05	89.71	87.86
Nov 23, 2007	90.54	91.83	86.81	91.45	90.12
Nov 30, 2007	90.32	92.49	87.46	91.86	89.94
Dec 07, 2007	85.91	88.54	83.45	87.98	86.9
Dec 14, 2007	86.79	89.54	83.99	88.97	88.23
Dec 21, 2007	88.02	91.67	86.39	91.29	89.31
Dec 28, 2007	89.76	92.24	86.16	91.96	91
Jan 04, 2008	92.93	94.85	88.2	94.2	93.02
Jan 11, 2008	92.82	95.74	89.03	94.63	92.52
Jan 18, 2008	88.18	91.74	85.27	90.58	88.05
Jan 25, 2008	85.53	88.36	82.32	87.51	85
Feb 01, 2008	88.71	91.05	85.48	90.48	88.33
Feb 08, 2008	86.8	90.17	84.21	89.9	86.03
Feb 15, 2008	89.91	92.98	86.72	92.04	89.64
Feb 22, 2008	93.51	96.35	89.63	95.4	93.21
Feb 29, 2008	95.15	97.94	90.46	96.88	95.07
Mar 07, 2008	98.01	100.16	93.16	99.29	98.62
Mar 14, 2008	102.56	102.49	95.47	101.76	102.64
Mar 21, 2008	102.03	104.97	97.83	104.07	102.43
Mar 28, 2008	99.32	101.21	94.44	100.51	100.2
Apr 04, 2008	98.39	102.31	93.65	100.99	98.81
Apr 11, 2008	103.22	105.74	96.88	104.04	103.37
Apr 18, 2008	107.28	109.64	101.01	108.21	107.31
Apr 25, 2008	111.03	113.99	104.92	112.5	110.52
May 02, 2008	110.21	114.13	105.01	112.48	109.97
May 09, 2008	115.11	117.54	109.09	116.05	114.41
May 16, 2008	119.91	124.83	116.12	123.93	119.45
May 23, 2008	123.35	129.02	119.86	128.33	123.89
May 30, 2008	126.06	131	121.69	129.97	126.63
Jun 06, 2008	121.36	126.63	116.51	125.8	120.79
Jun 13, 2008	129.7	134.47	124.33	133.92	129.05
Jun 20, 2008	129.78	136.36	126	135.91	129.66
Jun 27, 2008	131.41	136.07	125.92	135.72	130.9
Jul 04, 2008	137.11	142.68	132.35	142.48	136.02
Jul 11, 2008	135.55	143.33	133.04	142.8	134.55
Jul 18, 2008	136.32	143.4	132.92	142.46	134.5
Jul 25, 2008	125.11	132.57	122.58	132.14	123.7
Aug 01, 2008	121.29	128.62	119.53	128.19	118.99
Aug 08, 2008	117.03	125.12	114.46	124	114.95
Aug 15, 2008	110.45	118.39	107.98	116.67	107.94
Aug 22, 2008	109.26	116.09	105.83	114.19	108.36
Aug 29, 2008	111.83	118.93	108.09	117.72	110.32
Sep 05, 2008	106.41	112.25	103.02	111.66	105.03
Sep 12, 2008	98.53	104.19	95.79	103.95	97.08
Sep 19, 2008	90.3	95.09	86.5	95.09	89.08
Sep 26, 2008	98.82	99.85	90.93	99.6	97.6
Oct 03, 2008	93.38	95.56	89	95.13	92.37
Oct 10, 2008	82	82.06	76.08	81.73	81.13
Oct 17, 2008	70.6	72.77	66.93	72.3	69.71
Oct 24, 2008	64.48	64.95	58.79	64.17	63.93
Oct 31, 2008	59.3	60.51	54.6	59.69	58.26
Nov 07, 2008	58.66	60.93	54.56	59.94	57.77
Nov 14, 2008	52.19	55.48	49.15	54.15	51.46
Nov 21, 2008	47.04	49.86	43.88	48.77	48.02
Nov 28, 2008	45.72	46.75	40.87	45.65	46.36
Dec 05, 2008	43.12	47.19	40.24	44.87	43.67
Dec 12, 2008	38.73	42.29	35.69	39.77	38.4
Dec 19, 2008	40.99	45.52	39.19	43.22	41.9
Dec 26, 2008	35.99	42.1	35.68	39.89	38.35
Jan 02, 2009	34.57	38.97	32.86	37.13	35.21
Jan 09, 2009	43.12	48.99	43.33	47.13	41.76
Jan 16, 2009	40.98	46.81	41.07	45.02	38.54
Jan 23, 2009	41.05	44.76	39.14	43.28	39.51
Jan 30, 2009	42.07	44.76	39.21	43.53	40.09
Feb 06, 2009	41.77	44.81	41.44	44.24	39.49
Feb 13, 2009	43.04	46.74	43.11	46.22	40.31
Feb 20, 2009	39.87	44.08	40.27	43.68	37.22
Feb 27, 2009	40.22	43.07	39.38	42.64	37.16
Mar 06, 2009	42.85	44.94	42.4	44.48	40.63
Mar 13, 2009	42.91	44.74	42.12	44.3	40.18
Mar 20, 2009	44.9	46.56	43.75	45.99	42.88
Mar 27, 2009	50.1	52.34	48.93	51.58	48.54
Apr 03, 2009	48.09	50.86	48.42	50.08	47.47
Apr 10, 2009	50.27	53.56	51.33	52.65	49.61
Apr 17, 2009	50.68	54.05	51.86	53.06	50.22
Apr 24, 2009	48.38	51.7	49.69	50.75	48.2
May 01, 2009	48.91	51.06	49.18	50.12	47.91
May 08, 2009	52.92	56.44	53.47	55.33	50.31
May 15, 2009	55.87	59.3	56.35	57.99	53.4
May 22, 2009	56.93	60.17	57.3	58.86	54.55
May 29, 2009	59.94	62.05	59.13	60.82	57.09
Jun 05, 2009	65.62	68.37	66.18	68.18	64.17
Jun 12, 2009	68.24	71.46	69.39	70.76	66.73
Jun 19, 2009	69.25	72.63	70.62	72.04	67.7
Jun 26, 2009	67.68	71.45	68.96	70.11	65.94
Jul 03, 2009	68.47	72.91	70.26	71.39	67.17
Jul 10, 2009	62.5	66.76	64.91	65.49	62.29
Jul 17, 2009	59.99	63.69	62.02	62.44	59.69
Jul 24, 2009	64.63	66.34	64.75	65.14	64.75
Jul 31, 2009	67.5	68.84	67.77	67.63	67.64
Aug 07, 2009	71.52	72.84	71.24	71.65	71.58
Aug 14, 2009	71.99	74.08	71.83	72.65	71.93
Aug 21, 2009	70.58	72.84	70.77	71.49	70.64
Aug 28, 2009	71.6	73.62	71.59	72.33	71.21
Sep 04, 2009	68.07	71.13	67.77	69.92	67.34
Sep 11, 2009	67.82	70.03	66.77	68.77	66.33
Sep 18, 2009	68.02	70.69	67.37	69.47	66.78
Sep 25, 2009	67.55	70.73	67.46	69.53	66.69
Oct 02, 2009	65	67.39	64.23	66.39	63.97
Oct 09, 2009	67.24	70.1	67.73	68.9	66.4
Oct 16, 2009	70.94	73.33	70.84	71.99	70.14
Oct 23, 2009	76.11	78.33	75.74	77.12	75.68
Oct 30, 2009	76.49	78.82	76.63	77.61	75.94
Nov 06, 2009	76.34	78.47	76.56	77.66	75.65
Nov 13, 2009	76.17	79.37	77.49	78.82	75.71
Nov 20, 2009	76.5	79.44	77.48	78.88	76.51
Nov 27, 2009	75.75	78.95	76.9	78.51	75.91
Dec 04, 2009	76.18	79.65	77.66	78.87	75.97
Dec 11, 2009	73.89	78.16	76.13	77.41	73.71
Dec 18, 2009	70.6	74.11	71.91	73.47	70.7
Dec 25, 2009	71.75	74.21	71.81	73.58	71.97
Jan 01, 2010	75.55	77.7	75.49	77.2	75.21
Jan 08, 2010	78.89	80.79	78.56	80.25	77.82
Jan 15, 2010	78.65	81.03	78.95	80.71	77.53
Jan 22, 2010	75.26	77.92	75.79	77.48	74.35
Jan 29, 2010	71.99	74.23	71.98	73.88	70.76
Feb 05, 2010	72.28	74.97	72.56	74.6	71.99
Feb 12, 2010	70.42	72.41	70.09	72.02	69.51
Feb 19, 2010	73.46	75.69	73.22	75.33	72.8
Feb 26, 2010	75.98	77.7	75.12	77.03	75.64
Mar 05, 2010	76.45	77.53	74.7	76.71	76.37

المصدر: http://www.eia.doe.gov